Tag: police-involved shooting

  • Police-Involved Shooting, Baltimore July 1, 2020

    Police-Involved Shooting, Baltimore July 1, 2020

    In some ways this is yet another too typical police-involved shooting (not that police-involved shootings are typical — these kind of calls get handled in the thousands “without incident”). But it’s all here: a man with a gun, mentally disturbed, confronted by police. And not for the first time. The man is black, unlike the previous one I wrote about, in Patterson, NJ, in which the man was white. Here the only white people are the paramedics. That too is not untypical.

    This is not an unusual call. It’s a 3AM call for somebody in “behavior crisis.” It’s the fourth such call of the day. The previous day, June 30, there were 36 such calls. On July 1st, this is the 4,071th such call this year for Baltimore City Police. Probably (though I don’t know) this was the first to end with somebody being shot. Anyway if you don’t want cops to respond to this call, you’d need resources to handle up to maybe a half dozen of these “behavior calls” calls an hour. This is for a city of (sigh, less than) 600,000 people.

    But this is worth analyzing because, well, it seems to be handled very well by police, and the mentally ill guy still gets shot. The cops do well. They treat the man as a man in crisis and not a mortal threat. they don’t dehumanize him. You don’t hear de rigueur verbal commands for the sake of “controlling the scene.” This is the midnight shift in action.The cops take their time. The cops are calm. They are caring. They try to connect with the guy. They make sure he knows they’re here to help him. They don’t have their guns out even though they strongly suspect the man is armed and turns out to be a mortal threat!

    I’d like you to look at this and think, “At what point did the cops make a mistake?” “At what point would I or better yet a trained expert done something differently? Short of the guy being on his meds and/or not having a gun, how could have this turned out differently. But he wasn’t on his meds. And he does have a gun (though we don’t know that, and that’s part of the problem). And the family has tried and failed to managed the situation. So they call 911 because they help.

    So we send the cops. And the handle the situation well, in my humble opinion. And a cop comes within a split-second of being killed. And the mentally ill get get shot multiple times (though lives).

    When the cops enter the house, the mother-in-law warns them, “It ain’t gonna be that easy.”

    The cop replies, “Nothing ever is.” Truer words have never been spoken.

    The moment this becomes a lethal force situation happens so fast that I missed it more than once, trying to take notes. From police arriving on scene to shooting takes 18 minutes. But from sight of the gun to the shootings takes less than 2 seconds. Even knowing it’s coming, you’ll miss it. I guarantee it.

    The other reason I’m writing a lot is to weed out the weak! But seriously, I can’t force you to watch the whole video, but if you’re still interested and willing to watch the shooting part, watch the whole damn thing. My point is not to show violence, but how to prevent it. Or, unfortunately accept that sometimes, for many reasons, it is inevitable.

    After the shooting the Mayor of Baltimore says through a spokesman that the shooting was under an “active investigation.” The Maryland ACLU said: “In Maryland, this has become a disturbingly familiar pattern – where officers called to assist someone in mental distress instead trigger a crisis, failing to see the person’s humanity and shooting instead of helping. This latest incident further points out how Baltimore’s over-dependence on police is setting them up to fail, and costing unnecessary lives.” Gosh. Sounds horrible.

    “This is why the ACLU of Maryland and and more than 60 other organizations across the state are demanding that the Law Enforcement Bill of Rights be repealed…. #BlackLivesMatter”

    So the ACLU says this would not have happened if only LEOBOR were repealed. (Personally I’m not a big fan of LEOBOR, but that’s neither here nor there right here). The ACLU is literally taking this man’s death, a man a crisis, a black man, and using it for political gain. This needs to be pointed out. It’s a shitty thing to do. Anyway, after (hopefully) proper redactions, a few days later the BPD did release the body cam footage. As far as I know the ACLU never said anything about maybe the cops did pretty well here, all things considered.

    From the Sun: The police commissioner said that after the shooting by the officers, the residence where the shooting occurred was searched and eight weapons were found, including a second weapon registered to Walker. Asked whether police should have taken steps after the first incident to determine whether Walker had additional weapons, Harrison said the investigation was “ongoing.”

    The police commissioner could have should have been more laudatory about the professionalism of the officers. It’s not exactly the defense you’d like to hear from your boss after you just had to shoot someone, had your game taken away, and worry if the prosecutor will slap you with criminal charges.

    Think that’s crazy? Cops fear getting in trouble not for doing wrong, but for doing right. Just one year ago Sgt. Bill Shiflett confronted an active murderer and got shot for his efforts. For his troubles, Mosby, the prosecutor, held potential criminal charges against him for 7 months. I don’t know why. You’ll have to ask her. But this is policing today.

    This police-involved shooting, as is common, starts with a 911 call. It’s after 3AM on Wednesday, July 1, 2020. The call itself is very well handled. Mother in law calls and says: Last time he was drinking he had a gun. … He’s a psych mental patient. Yelling and screaming and ranting. Last time they give him two shots and took him to [the hospital.] My daughter is trying to get him to come up. My daughter’s husband is in the basement and he’s paranoid or schizophrenic. He was diagnosed with that couple weeks ago. He’s down in the basement and he’s like that now.

    Operator: Is he having an episode or something?

    Yes.

    Operator: How old?

    33 years.

    Operator: I’m making request for an ambulance. Is he violent?

    I guess. I don’t know.

    Operator: Possibly or likely?

    Yes. Possibly.

    Operator: Does he have a weapon?

    That I don’t know.

    Operator: Is he thinking about suicide?

    I don’t know.

    Operator: Is he completely alert?

    Not really. Hearing voices.

    Operator: I’m going to send the paramedics and well as police. They’re going to monitor.

    You should make them silent cause he’s going to go crazy when he hears.

    Operator: They usually do accordingly for certain calls.

    And then standard instructions are given about setting up the house and whether people have COVID. The whole call takes two minutes and thirty seconds. The cop on 414 post gets a medium-priority call for a “behavior crisis” and probably takes about 15 minutes to get there. Another officer would be assigned as backup. Usually this can of call involves standing around while paramedics do their thing.

    It’s worth pointing out that all three cops parked some distance from the house, as they should… but that didn’t used to happen when I was there. Better to take a minute to approach on foot and judged the scene. Also they didn’t want to block the ambulance in. Anyway, to me it’s noteworthy. Also there were no sirens. But it’s late night/early morning. Only the ambulance has its flashing lights on. The fire department does that. Partly they just like their lights. But also it does provide a beacon to approaching vehicles, which can be life saving.

    Anyway, so once the cops are there, at the front door, with paramedics, we get this additional information from the mother in law. She is on the phone with her daughter, who is in the basement with her daughter’s husband, Walker. The mother in law says the following: Running down the street acting crazy.When the found him last time he was ranting, he had a gun.He is a psych patient. … Down there screaming and ranting now.He probably didn’t take his meds. “I’m doing this natural. I’m doing this natural.” He ain’t harmed nobody.About 2 weeks ago running up and down the street. That’s him.

    Paramedics know the guy from the previous week’s incident, when he was running around, maybe shooting a gun? I’m not sure. One paramedic asks the other if he is combative. The other replies, “very.” So they won’t go in. And it’s not their job. So at 5min 34sec (on Officer Gray’s bodycam, below) two police enter the house. A third joins later. This is 4 minutes after Gray got out of his police car. There’s no rush. That’s good.

    Walker’s wife, the caller’s daughter, can’t get him to come upstairs. She probably been trying for hours. Eventually she concedes what she’s doing isn’t working and says cops are going to come downstairs.

    When everybody gives up, cops go in. The wife can’t get her husband to come up. The paramedics won’t go down. There is no dedicated social worker cops know to call. But is that really the solution at this point? Like the paramedics, it’s hard to social workers going down without cops. And I’m not certain what they would do that the cops didn’t. The mother and father in law? God knows what they think about how they got in this situation. Pops seems to have given up. But I’m sure it’s been a very long night. Again.

    So should the cops refuse to go in because it’s dangerous? They can’t. Or maybe the cops leave and say this isn’t a job for police. Except it is. Because it’s dangerous. The police are our responders. And they’re trained. Their goal is to get this guy to either calm down enough so the cops can leave and the paramedics can have a look. Or to get take the man into custody and get him safely into appropriate medical care. That’s it, right? Those are the choices.

    Baltimore Police released video. This is the video from Officer Gray’s bodycam. This is the one I’m going to use. But here is the video from Officer Torand. And from Del Valle (I’m not certain why there isn’t video at the moment he’s doing most of the shooting. Could be too gory. Could be malfunction. Could be a massive cover up!… but it’s not). Here’s the the version edited by the BPD which they released for the press conference. It’s a good job and kind of covers it all. But it’s also a bit confusing since they show multiple bodycams and slow-mo and stop things down at times. But police work in real time. I like real time. Finally, here’s Justin Fenton’s article in the Baltimore Sun. (Fenton does a good job, but I don’t want that to go to his head.)

    Gray asks for addition units at 5min 37sec (this is not clock time, but the time on the video, which is the after the officer started his body cam). The officer confirms the name of the man in “distress.” It’s about 4AM. Gray and another officer go to the basement at 6:15. At 6:40 they ask the wife to clear out, and they tell her that medics are there. The man’s name is Walker. The timeline below is this video. The transcript is edited and not complete. The only white people I can see are the paramedics, which isn’t that uncommon for Baltimore. I’ll leave to you to say if that matters.

    This is the video that corresponds with the timeline, below.

    7:30 Cops: Your family called us.

    7:42 Walker: Come in front to the cameras. [This is in reference to cameras that may but probably do not exist.]

    8:00 Walker: Trying to take my life. In my house illegally. And about to kill me.

    For much of the time, Walker has his hands in a prayer-like position and speaks to either a non-present friend (maybe his barber?) or God.

    8:25 Walker: Distorted because my wife tried to poison me.  

    8:48 Walker: Take your masks down.

    9:23 Cops: If he takes his mask off?

    9:38 Cops: Can you listen to me? I‘ll go in front of the camera if you take that knife out of your pocket.

    10:10 Cops: Where are the cameras?

    10:15 Walker: I know tribal tattoos when I see them.

    10:17 Cops: We’re trying to help you. The medics are upstairs.

    10:45 Walker: Nobody called y’all.

    11:00 Walker: He’s been sleeping with my wife. Whole time.

    11:20 Cops: Do you feel like you want to hurt yourself?

    11:22 Walker: Hell no.

    11:39 Walker: Come shake my hand like a man.

    11:45 Walker: [third officer arrives about now] I don’t know him, sir. Can you take down your mask please. And if I kill you inside my house, it’s legal, yo. I’m peaceful.

    At some point the specifics of the dialogue here don’t really matter. This man simply isn’t all there. Times like this were only time I was afraid as a cop. That moment when I realized that all the words I said, any empathy I had? They mean nothing. And there lots of red flags. Messianic references to rising from the dead. Threats. Paranoia. Speaking to God. None of this is a good, from the cops’ perspective. But they do their best to stay calm and get the man to comply and come upstairs.

    12:14 Cops: Your family is here. If your family comes down…

    12:20 Walker: I apologize come. Shake my hand. I was chastised. They poisoned me. …Take off your mask .

    12:45: Cops: I took off my mask….. I can’t take off the gloves.

    12:55 Walker: How’d I get to the hospital illegally.

    13:12 Walker: The police are here illegally. I didn’t invite them in.

    13:20 Walker: I died. I came back on the third day. On the cameras.

    13:35 Walker: Every time I’m in front of cameras they still trying to kill me. The whole time they kept trying to kill me. Please they tried to kill me other day. I don’t know you. You either.  

    13:55 Cops: The ambulance is upstairs and we’re trying to help you.

    14:10 Walker: [to the heavens] Please save my life. They’re trying to kill me in real life. On camera. I don’t know how these people got here. [yelling] Bosses only king chambers. Get out my chambers!  

    14:35 Walker: They’re trying to kill me in real life.

    14:42 Cops: They’re the medics behind us.

    14:45 Walker: How’d they get here when I didn’t invite them.

    14:48: Cops: Cause your family called them.

    14:50: Walker. I hate everything.

    15:25 Walker: [Yelling] You can’t kill me. Everything recorded, yo.

    15:55 Walker: Y’all can’t kill me in real life.

    16:10 Cops: If you’re not able to go with us, then we’re going to have to put cuffs on you.

    16:15 Walker: I’m on camera. You can’t kill me in real life. You gonna kill me in front of my father. It’s my real life. Can you lock them up before I die, yo?

    16:47 Cops: Nobody is trying to kill you. Nobody is trying to harm you.

    16:49 Walker: Everybody in my house right now. They’re moving stuff. They’re trying to kill me.

    16:51 Cops: We’re trying to help you.

    16:52 Walker: They’re moving stuff, you. Why y’all trying to kill me. All y’all was here the other day. Sheriffs here! Please save my life.

    [Officer moves camera right to side of Walker, moves an object that we could trip over. Officer Gray silently points to two possible weapons. This is a tight team. I like that.]

    17:15 Walker: Why ya’ll getting close. I died in real life. Please save my life. The sharps are here, yo. Why you moving stuff, yo?

    17:30 Cops: Keep your hands out your pocket. Keep your hand out your pocket.

    17:35 [officer on right move what I think is a knife from off the top of the dryer.]

    17:38 Walker: I’m distorted. Everything is recorded yo. I’m distorted because these people trying to kill me. Can I get a hug, yo?

    17:48 Cops: Do you want to go with the medics?

    17:48 Walker: Come give me a hug in front of the camera.

    17:55 Walker: I didn’t invite these people in. Quarantine and chill. I’ve been begging to chill all day.

    17:56 Cops: Do you want to go upstairs with the medics?

    17:58 Walker: I ain’t going nowhere. [Angry] Cause I’m all natural!

    18:08 Cops: Did you take your medication.

    18:11 Walker: Naw. That shit fake.

    18:15. So listen. The medics are outside. Can we get you upstairs for the medics to have look at you?

    18:16:00 [Walker’s hand goes in his pocket. No visible officer has their hand on their gun. Though I would hope the third officer, Torand, the one behind Gray does have his gun in hand.]

    18:17:05 [Walker’s gun is visible. And yes, here the timelines has to go into milliseconds. You’d have to watch this multiple times frame-by-frame (like I did) to see how all the cops react in sync, without saying a word, to that gun that just appeared. This is where training kicks in. There’s no hesitation. There can’t be. This whole time there, the officers were focused. Completely. And aware of their surrounds. Hyper aware.]

    Oh, indeed he wasn’t just happy to see me. That was a gun in his pocket.

    18:17:17 [Walker’s gun aimed right at officer’s bodycam. This image is highlighted in the BPD edited version, and for good reason. Yes, the cop is looking down the barrel of a loaded gun. In freeze frame, in hindsight, I see his finger is not yet on the trigger. The fact that Walker doesn’t have a good grip on the gun is what saves the cops’ lives. It buys them an extra second.]

    18:17:29 [Cop on right starts to reach for gun. Walker’s gun is visible at 18:17:05. 1/5th of a second (00:00:20) is the standard alert human’s reaction time.]

    18:18:00 [Walker lowers his arm holding the gun.]

    18:18:18 [Cop on right gets to his gun holster.]

    18:19:06 [Walker starts to raise gun toward cop on right.]

    18:19:17 [First shot. Not clear from whom. BPD says Torent, behind Gray, fired. If so, he probably fired first. Just be happy Gray didn’t jump to his left to take cover. It’s not a good shooting position to be in. But what can you do? We see Del Valle on the right fire at least 3 rounds, the 3rd through 5th shot.]

    18:19:22 [Walker is in shooting position, aimed at officer on right.

    18:19:50 [A second shot is heard. I don’t from whom or exactly when.]

    18:20:06 [Cop on right fires the 3rd shot.]

    That little bright dot in the barrel of the gun is the muzzle flash.
    The recoil 1/100 of a second later

    18:20:15 [Cop on right fires 4th shot.]

    18:20:24 [Cop on right fires 5th shot. The cops stop shooting ends exactly 1.07 seconds after they start shooting. Why? Because in that one second the threat was no longer a threat. “Shoot to incapacitate. That’s how I was trained. They haven’t killed Walker (they could have), but they ended the threat. So they stop shooting. That’s the way it’s supposed to work. Quite often, too often, despite training, what happens in “contagion shooting.” Once one shot goes off, everybody shoots, and next you know all the cops have emptied their magazine and 1 of them somehow managed to reload and fires even more. That doesn’t happen here. It’s really impressive.]

    18:26 Cops: Twenty-three [unit number], shots fired get the medics down here.

    18:29 Walker: I’m still alive. You saved my life. They shot me. Please save my life.  

    18:45 Cop: Where’s the gun? He had a gun.

    18:46 Cop: Medics!

    18:46 Cop: Put him in cuffs!

    Cops went from “no visible threat” to shooting in 2 seconds. In the next second cops went from 1st shot fired to 5th and last shot fired. From the first bullet, it is just 7 seconds before the cops are calling on the radio for a medic to help save Walker’s life.

    In the proverbial “split second,” cops see a threat, respond, shoot, stop the threat, stop shooting, and then render aid. All this despite the fact that (presumably) none of them has ever been in this situation before.

    That’s what training is about. In times of crisis it’s supposed take over, because you literally don’t have time to think. Had the officer not fired when he did, had he been just maybe 1/4 second slower on the draw. He’d likely be dead. Had Walker’s gun been just a “gun-like” object, the cops would be facing criminal charges. As I like to say, “how was your day at the office?”

    I believe the gun was indeed loaded, but I don’t know that for sure. But really, does it matter? What if it had been a BB gun? Or a cell phone? It doesn’t matter. Are the cops supposed to stand there and take one in the face before returning fire? Who can watch this saying the cops shouldn’t have shot this man exactly when the did?

    Anyway, these cops are tight, working together as a team. Never do they raise their voice. The communicate with each other barely saying a word. They try to connect with Walker. They say his name. Nothing works. I can’t think of what they did wrong. In hindsight, perhaps they sould have just Tazed him right off the bat. But had they done that, I would criticize them for that. Doesn’t mean I’m right. But the truth is the guy wasn’t a sure threat until he pulled out a gun. His hands were mostly in the air. He is delusional. And has worrisome fits of flexing anger. But he’s not actually a threat to cops… until he is. And the cops treat him accordingly both before and after.

    In too many videos you see cops standing around after shooting somebody still shouting, “Let me see your fucking hands!” This said to somebody who may not be moving because… he’s dead or dying. But one thing BPD has been good at for decades is the first priority is always: “render aid.” [By the way, cops, at least in Baltimore, didn’t call for “medics” until veterans started coming back from Iraq and Afghanistan post 2001. Before the endless war, we just called for an “Ambo.”]

    Also, does it matter that Walker was black? Did that change police behavior. The public sure thinks it does. Doesn’t seem very relevant to me here. Nor does the officers’ various skin tones seem to matter. But you know what probably didn’t help? The narrative Walker was pretty convinced of: that cops are there to kill him.

    In comes down to this: this man can’t be left to his own devices, not in the state he’s in. So let’s accept that some response is needed. At 3AM. Who? Well, paramedics, of course. They respond. But they won’t go in without cops because this guy was “very” combative with them just the other week. Is a social worker or shrink going to come and calm him down? Maybe. But I doubt it. Not with the history of guns and violence. But if an unarmed social worker and psychiatrist want to go down to that basement and offer themselves up as an human shield, police will gladly stand behind them.

    (Update 6/17/21: Here’s an article in the Washington Post about mental health response in Montgomery County, MD, that goes well with this post.)

  • Disparities in Police-Involved Shootings by City and County

    Disparities in Police-Involved Shootings by City and County

    So I’ve done a little work using the data from FatalEncounters.org on people shot and killed by police. Fatal Encounters is like the Washington Post database, but for adults. I combined/merged this with a city or police department’s population, number of cops, average number of murders in the jurisdiction (over 4 or 3 years), median household income, percentage Black, and percentage Latino/Hispanic. The dataset includes every city/town where cops killed somebody between 2015-2019 and also every city above 100,000 population. I end up with 2,872 cases.

    I also looked at counties, which nobody has ever seem to have done before. If you live in a state like Maryland, Texas, California or Arizona, you probably know that county police of sheriff can be the major police department. Some of the counties are huge, and their very existence is seemingly noticed by research despite the fact that there are 88 county police departments that have jurisdictions of more than 100,000 people. The police departments of 20 counties police more than 500,000 people. County data is tricky. So take this with grain of salt. Population (the denominator is the rate) is based not on the entire county but on the population policed by the department. It could be wrong (corrections welcome). And I tried to exclude jail operations from cop population (by taking only sworn officers).

    LA County Sheriff’s Department kills an average of 12 people a year (2015-2019). That’s a lot. Their rate is 11 per million population (if my population figures are correct, which is tricky for county police and overlapping jurisdictions). The rate for Los Angeles City Police Department is 4.2. The national average is about 3. Riverside County and San Bernardino Counties also have very high rates. Riverside County is 32 per million, the highest in the nation. But that is only if Riverside County Sheriff’s Department polices but 180,000 people (which is the population of Riverside County minus the cities that have their own police department… but maybe that’s not a good way to figure it out; the population of Riverside County is 2.4 million). Either way, 1,795 cops killing 5.8 people a year over 5 years is a lot. That’s 1 killing for every 310 cops. In NYC, the comparable figure is 1 killing for every 4,605 cops.

    The Bernalillo County Sheriff’s department (Albuquerque) has a rate of nearly 20 (per million). Three-hundred Sheriff Deputies killed 10 people over 5 years. That’s a lot. Could be bad luck. Could be unfortunate but necessary shootings in cases for which there was no less-lethal alternative. But if the NYPD killed two people for every 300 cops, it would be over 200 police-involved shooting deaths a year in NYC. Last year in NYC police shot 15 people and killed 5.

    Other county sheriff departments in which there aren’t that many cops and kind of a lot of people killed are Spokane WA, Pierce WA, Clark WA, Volusia FL, and Lexington SC, King WA, and Greenville SC

    Riverside County CA and Bernalillo County NM are interesting because the largest city police departments in their county (Riverside City and Albuquerque, respectively) also shoot a lot of people (but not nearly at such a high rate). Here are the cities of over 100,000 population with the highest rate of people shot and killed by police.

    Every single city on this list is west of the Mississippi (or in Florida). Every single one. The mean rate for cities in eastern states is 3.8. If you take Florida out of the east, the mean goes down to 3.5. For cities in western states, the mean rate is 5.4. That’s a big difference. (The median is 3.2 and and 4.2.) And whatever real differences account for the arbitrary geographic difference, there are many department in cities over 100,000 that shot and killed few few people from 2015-2019, or at a rate less than the national average: Plano TX, Irvine CA, Fairfield CA, Grand Prarie TX, Pasadnia CA, Mesquite TX. Were they just lucky? Or were they doing something right. Or maybe both.

    Maybe population greater than 100,000 isn’t the right cut off. The top cities just make the greater than 100,000 list. The total n (for 5 years) is between 8 and 35. So a little good or bad luck can affect the rate a lot. But still, a lot of shooting goes on in cities of this size. Also, the murder rate is high in a lot of these cities… but not all of them. And the murder rate is also high in Birmingham, Baltimore, New Orleans, Jackson, and Detroit, and they’re not on the list. And a lot of cities that are on this list have very few black people (Las Cruces, Pueblo, Westminster, Billings, Albuquerque, Tucson, Spokane, Salt Lake City).

    Once you start getting into larger cities, I should look not only at places where cops shoot a lot, but also at places where cops shoot very little. Sure, since shootings are rare, at might just be luck. But it might be police departments are doing something right.

    Thirty-one cities have rates under 1 per million. All but 4 have fewer than 200,000 people. So maybe they’re lucky. Irvine California is on the list. But hey, Irvine is rich. But what about Hialeah FL? Or Lexington KY? Or Lubbock TX? Zero fatalities all. What about New York City? 8.5 million people. And a rate of 0.89, less than a third the national average? That’s not an accident. That’s policy, training, and leadership. Why not learn from the cities doing it right?

    Βetter cities (rate < 1.5 / million, half the national average) in the 200,000 to 300,000 range (n = 52), include Lubbock, Hialeah, and Greensboro. They aren’t rich. (Irvine, Oxnard, Glendale, Plano, and Jersey City are also on the good list.) In the most-shooting category (rate > 10 / million, 3 times the national average) are Orlando, Baton Rouge, Tacoma, Spokane, Salt Lake City, Birmingham AL, Richmond VA, and Modesto CA. These are mostly middle income places with a wide variety of racial demographics.

    In the 300,000 to 500,000 category (n=29), only Lexington KY and Raleigh NC stand out as better than average (rate < 2). Though Virginia Beach, Minneapolis, Pittsburgh have rates < 4. On the high end (rate > 10) are Miami, Bakersfield, Tulsa, and St. Louis. St. Louis tops the chart at a whopping rate of 22.2 / million. Though St. Louis has a terribly high murder rate of 60 (per 100,000). Though New Orleans has a high murder rate of 39,000 and a cop-involved killing rate of (just?) 4.5 per million. (The US murder rate is about 5 per 100,000.)

    Above half a million population, the range in rates of killed by police goes from above 8 in Albuquerque, Tucson, Denver, Mesa, Oklahoma City down to New York City with a rate of 0.89. Nothing comes close. Nashville, Philadelphia, Boston and San Diego have annual rates between 2 and 3 per million.

    (Note I’ve changed the scale from the above charts. The x axis went to 30. Now it’s 14.)

    Keep in mind there are hundreds of smaller cities and counties between Albuquerque and New York City. But the disparity between cities at the top and bottom of the list! It’s immense. And nobody sees to be able to look up from the latest outrage and ask, why?

    So let’s give credit where it is due. By my figuring these departments all have killing rates under 1 per million (and serve populations over 180,000. If my data is correct, which it may not be). Their success should be applauded and emulated:

    Travis County Sheriff’s Office
    Montgomery County Department of Police
    New Castle County Police Department
    Gwinnett County Police Department
    Loudoun County Sheriff’s Office
    Chesterfield County Police Department
    Prince William County Police Department
    Santa Clara County Sheriff’s Office
    Fairfax County Police Department
    Monroe County Sheriff’s Office
    Arlington County Police Department
    Macomb County Sheriff’s Office
    Oxnard Police Department
    New York City Police Department
    Lubbock Police Department
    Lexington Police Department

    For those who understand such things, I also ran this regression for cities > 100,000. Dependent variable being the rate of police killings and independent variables being median household income, percentage black, murder rate, cops per capita and Hispanic/Latino percentage. Income matters (not a surprise). So does murder rate (obviously). But the negative correlation with Black percentage is of note. I was not expecting the lack of correlation with Hispanic/Latino percentage. My knowledge of advanced statistics doesn’t get much advanced that this, alas.

    And this is all subject to errors and corrections. This a blog. Not a peer-review article. Leave a comment or better yet email me. Or twitter @petermoskos

    Methods and sources:

    Fatal Encounters. https://fatalencounters.org/
    Population and police numbers mostly from here: https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2018/crime-in-the-u.s.-2018/tables/table-78/table-78.xls/view.
    City murder number I mostly keep track of. But through 2018 from this kind of source: https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2016/crime-in-the-u.s.-2016/tables/table-6/table-6.xls/view
    Other number from wikipedia and police department websites.
    And here: https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/US/

    Killed by police data is from https://fatalencounters.org/. I gave $100; you should give few bucks, too. This is really important data, and it’s all the work of one guy. Plus he puts the format of the Washington Post’s gathering of similar data to shame.

    Then I filtered for intentional gun killings for each city, county, and police agency. From this I created a data set (one row) for each city, county, and/or agency. County data is tricky. Best I could, I figured out the population policed by large police agencies. But it’s not an exact science. (Basically take a county and subtract the cities and towns that have their own police.) There’s a lot of overlapping jurisdiction. There’s also the issue that a lot of sheriff department are responsible for jails, and I tried to exclude correctional officers (by leaving out non-sworn employees). But then in the end it turns out the number of cops per capita seems to not be that revealing, other than being correlated with murders per capita (yes, cities with more murders have more cops, presumable in that direction of causality).

    It’s also likely that some of the counties shouldn’t be included because their work is limited to courts and jails. Some of the police in these counties probably aren’t doing active policing, and hence shoot nobody. Also, murder data is probably accurate, because it comes from county departments reporting. And departments don’t generally claim other people’s murders. And some county department just don’t report any data. So some of the rates may be wrong. Long way of saying take county data with a grain of salt. But it’s still worth looking at.

    [Update] Here are the rates for every city in America with more than 200,00 people. Because somebody asked requested. This is the annual rate of people shot and killed by cops (2015-2019) in this city. Rate per million.

    Here’s county data. (Sorted by state, then city). Here I am including more data because I’m not confident about these rates. What is correct is the number of people killed by the agency in 5 years (Avg1yrKillAgcy). I’m not certain about the rate (KillMilAgcy) because I’m not certain about the population policed (Or the number of cops). If you know better, let me know.

    2020 caveat.

    Here’s some fancier statistical regression courtesy of Professor Gabriel Rossman. This is a work in progress.

    I think we get a few things from the Poisson:

    1. The satisfaction that it’s done right, or at least that it’s less wrong.
    2. Cops/1000 population is now significant. Given that the specification is technically better, as in the data better fit the model’s assumptions, you can probably trust this, or at least trust it at least as much as you could the OLS of rates
    3. You no longer need to worry about small n and zeroes biasing the models which means that even with a rare event you can include small cases. You no longer need to drop Mayberry from the dataset though obviously data cleaning is a pain with a bunch of small towns.

    12/7/2020 KillMilCity and KillMilAgcy are deaths as police homicides per million population.

    cops <- read_csv(file = "moskos_copshootings.csv")
    ## Parsed with column specification:
    ## cols(
    ##   .default = col_double(),
    ##   citystate = col_character(),
    ##   statecity = col_character(),
    ##   statecounty = col_character(),
    ##   state = col_character(),
    ##   agcy = col_character()
    ## )
    ## See spec(...) for full column specifications.
    glimpse(cops)
    ## Rows: 166
    ## Columns: 30
    ## $ citystate         <chr> "Kansas City KS", "Escondido CA", "Pomona CA", "S...
    ## $ statecity         <chr> "KS Kansas City", "CA Escondido", "CA Pomona", "M...
    ## $ murder1Avg        <dbl> 6.50, 4.50, 14.25, 15.00, 6.66, 1.25, 14.25, 4.00...
    ## $ statecounty       <chr> "KS Wyandotte", "CA San Diego", "CA Los Angeles",...
    ## $ FlagCityCounty    <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0...
    ## $ spendCapita       <dbl> NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, N...
    ## $ Population        <dbl> 152958, 153073, 153496, 155179, 155503, 155637, 1...
    ## $ cop1K             <dbl> 2.4516534, 1.0125888, 0.9511649, 3.1511996, 1.929...
    ## $ Mur100K           <dbl> 4.2495326, 2.9397738, 9.2836295, 9.6662564, 4.282...
    ## $ BlkPer            <dbl> 23.5, 2.4, 6.0, 20.9, 18.0, 1.7, 24.1, 1.4, 1.3, ...
    ## $ HisPer            <dbl> 29.9, 51.9, 71.5, 44.7, 37.5, 17.3, 11.5, 23.1, 7...
    ## $ IncMedHouse       <dbl> 43573, 62319, 55115, 36730, 51917, 131791, 53007,...
    ## $ KillMilCity       <dbl> 9.152839, 1.306566, 5.211862, 0.000000, 3.858446,...
    ## $ KillMilAgcy       <dbl> 7.845291, 1.306566, 2.605931, 0.000000, 2.572298,...
    ## $ state             <chr> "KS", "CA", "CA", "MA", "FL", "CA", "TN", "CO", "...
    ## $ EastWest          <dbl> 2, 2, 2, 1, 1, 2, 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 1...
    ## $ agcy              <chr> "Kansas City Police Department", "Escondido Polic...
    ## $ Cops              <dbl> 375, 155, 146, 489, 300, 217, 278, 285, 151, 340,...
    ## $ countCity         <dbl> 7, 1, 4, 0, 3, 4, 3, 8, 2, 4, 1, 3, 6, 9, 1, 2, 1...
    ## $ killedByAgency5Yr <dbl> 6, 1, 2, 0, 2, 4, 2, 7, 2, 4, 2, 3, 4, 9, 0, 1, 1...
    ## $ CopsKill1Yr       <dbl> 0.003200000, 0.001290323, 0.002739726, 0.00000000...
    ## $ CopsKill20Yr      <dbl> 0.06400000, 0.02580645, 0.05479452, 0.00000000, 0...
    ## $ Murder4yrTotal    <dbl> 26, 18, 57, 60, NA, 5, 57, 16, 113, 244, 21, 32, ...
    ## $ LEO               <dbl> NA, 209, 269, NA, 394, 282, 342, 409, 204, NA, 40...
    ## $ Civs              <dbl> NA, 54, 123, NA, 94, 65, 64, 124, 53, 250, 88, 11...
    ## $ unique            <dbl> 26448, 19403, 24380, NA, 26303, 350, 25627, 27185...
    ## $ zip               <dbl> 66111, 92027, 91768, NA, 33024, 94089, 37042, 802...
    ## $ lat               <dbl> 39.11662, 33.14459, 34.05056, NA, 26.02650, 37.39...
    ## $ long              <dbl> -94.81942, -117.03364, -117.82068, NA, -80.22943,...
    ## $ `filter_$`        <dbl> 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0...

    Replicate post

    Reasonably good match for Moskos’s 7/5/2020 blog post but numbers aren’t exact. Perhaps it’s minimum population of 100,000 (blog) vs 150,000 (this notebook). Alternately may be a counties issue.

    summary(lm(data=cops,KillMilCity~IncMedHouse+ BlkPer + Mur100K + cop1K + HisPer))
    ## 
    ## Call:
    ## lm(formula = KillMilCity ~ IncMedHouse + BlkPer + Mur100K + cop1K + 
    ##     HisPer, data = cops)
    ## 
    ## Residuals:
    ##     Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
    ## -6.3049 -1.6853 -0.1688  1.5078  9.7141 
    ## 
    ## Coefficients:
    ##               Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
    ## (Intercept)  8.333e+00  1.347e+00   6.185 5.05e-09 ***
    ## IncMedHouse -4.975e-05  1.434e-05  -3.469 0.000673 ***
    ## BlkPer      -1.288e-01  2.242e-02  -5.742 4.61e-08 ***
    ## Mur100K      2.752e-01  3.707e-02   7.423 6.53e-12 ***
    ## cop1K       -2.078e-02  3.636e-01  -0.057 0.954492    
    ## HisPer      -1.659e-02  1.220e-02  -1.360 0.175703    
    ## ---
    ## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
    ## 
    ## Residual standard error: 2.782 on 159 degrees of freedom
    ##   (1 observation deleted due to missingness)
    ## Multiple R-squared:  0.3511, Adjusted R-squared:  0.3307 
    ## F-statistic: 17.21 on 5 and 159 DF,  p-value: 1.368e-13
    cops %>% ggplot(aes(x=KillMilAgcy)) + geom_histogram() + labs(x='Police Homicides Per Million Population', caption='Agency, not city')
    ## `stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.
    cops %>% ggplot(aes(x=killedByAgency5Yr)) + geom_histogram() + labs(x='Police Homicides Over 5 Years, Raw Count', caption='Agency, not city')
    ## `stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.
    cops %>% ggplot((aes(x=cop1K,y=killedByAgency5Yr,size=Population))) + 
      geom_point() +
      labs(x='Number of Cops / 1000 Population',y='Police Homicides Over 5 Years, Raw Count')
    cops %>% ggplot((aes(x=Population,y=cop1K))) + 
      geom_point() +
      labs(x='Population',y='Number of Cops / 1000 Population')

    Poisson

    Because police homicides are events, they can be modeled with a count model. Assuming the events are independent net of observables, a Poisson is appropriate. This seems consistent with the histogram. If the histogram were much more right-skewed or if there were strong theoretical reasons to think police homicides were not independent, then a negative binomial could be appropriate.

    Because cities/ agency jurisdictions vary wildly in size, it’s best to include population as an offset to model the different exposure. That is, more people means more people at risk of getting shot by cops and the model accounts for that.

    Compared to the OLS analysis of rates, the Poisson analysis of counts is similar but now everything is significant, including number of cops and percent Latino, both of which are negatively associated with the counts of police homicides.

    summary(glm(killedByAgency5Yr~IncMedHouse+ BlkPer + Mur100K + cop1K + HisPer + offset(log(Population)),
                data=cops,family="poisson"))
    ## 
    ## Call:
    ## glm(formula = killedByAgency5Yr ~ IncMedHouse + BlkPer + Mur100K + 
    ##     cop1K + HisPer + offset(log(Population)), family = "poisson", 
    ##     data = cops)
    ## 
    ## Deviance Residuals: 
    ##     Min       1Q   Median       3Q      Max  
    ## -3.9061  -1.2174  -0.1628   0.9152   3.3863  
    ## 
    ## Coefficients:
    ##               Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)    
    ## (Intercept) -9.609e+00  1.748e-01 -54.973  < 2e-16 ***
    ## IncMedHouse -1.068e-05  2.140e-06  -4.993 5.95e-07 ***
    ## BlkPer      -2.789e-02  3.018e-03  -9.242  < 2e-16 ***
    ## Mur100K      5.070e-02  3.583e-03  14.149  < 2e-16 ***
    ## cop1K       -2.050e-01  3.459e-02  -5.926 3.10e-09 ***
    ## HisPer      -5.088e-03  1.536e-03  -3.312 0.000925 ***
    ## ---
    ## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
    ## 
    ## (Dispersion parameter for poisson family taken to be 1)
    ## 
    ##     Null deviance: 654.06  on 164  degrees of freedom
    ## Residual deviance: 369.63  on 159  degrees of freedom
    ##   (1 observation deleted due to missingness)
    ## AIC: 960.63
    ## 
    ## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 4

    Percent Black vs Murder Rate

    There is a 0.772 correlation between % black and the murder rate, which suggests possible collinearity. As such,

    Note that the murder only version has a lower AIC so if forced to choose that’s the better model. Also note that when only one at a time is included, murder remains positive and black remains negative. Whatever is driving the murder and black effects, it is not collinearity.

    cops %>% ggplot((aes(x=BlkPer,y=Mur100K,size=Population))) + 
      geom_point() +
        labs(x='Percent Black',y='Murders per 100,000')
    ## Warning: Removed 1 rows containing missing values (geom_point).
    cops %>% ggplot((aes(x=Mur100K,y=killedByAgency5Yr,size=Population))) + 
      geom_point() +
      labs(x='Murder Rate',y='Police Homicides, Raw Count')
    ## Warning: Removed 1 rows containing missing values (geom_point).
    cops %>% ggplot((aes(x=BlkPer,y=killedByAgency5Yr,size=Population))) + 
      geom_point() +
      labs(x='% Black',y='Police Homicides, Raw Count')
    summary(glm(killedByAgency5Yr~IncMedHouse+ Mur100K + cop1K + HisPer + offset(log(Population)),
                data=cops,family="poisson"))
    ## 
    ## Call:
    ## glm(formula = killedByAgency5Yr ~ IncMedHouse + Mur100K + cop1K + 
    ##     HisPer + offset(log(Population)), family = "poisson", data = cops)
    ## 
    ## Deviance Residuals: 
    ##    Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max  
    ## -4.068  -1.450  -0.369   1.020   4.553  
    ## 
    ## Coefficients:
    ##               Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)    
    ## (Intercept) -1.015e+01  1.696e-01 -59.874   <2e-16 ***
    ## IncMedHouse -5.010e-06  2.025e-06  -2.474   0.0134 *  
    ## Mur100K      3.071e-02  3.195e-03   9.612   <2e-16 ***
    ## cop1K       -3.397e-01  3.132e-02 -10.846   <2e-16 ***
    ## HisPer       1.663e-03  1.378e-03   1.207   0.2274    
    ## ---
    ## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
    ## 
    ## (Dispersion parameter for poisson family taken to be 1)
    ## 
    ##     Null deviance: 654.06  on 164  degrees of freedom
    ## Residual deviance: 458.59  on 160  degrees of freedom
    ##   (1 observation deleted due to missingness)
    ## AIC: 1047.6
    ## 
    ## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 5
    summary(glm(killedByAgency5Yr~IncMedHouse+ BlkPer + cop1K + HisPer + offset(log(Population)),
                data=cops,family="poisson"))
    ## 
    ## Call:
    ## glm(formula = killedByAgency5Yr ~ IncMedHouse + BlkPer + cop1K + 
    ##     HisPer + offset(log(Population)), family = "poisson", data = cops)
    ## 
    ## Deviance Residuals: 
    ##     Min       1Q   Median       3Q      Max  
    ## -7.4545  -1.3608  -0.2578   1.0028   7.3989  
    ## 
    ## Coefficients:
    ##               Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)    
    ## (Intercept) -9.177e+00  1.750e-01 -52.428  < 2e-16 ***
    ## IncMedHouse -1.642e-05  2.183e-06  -7.524 5.33e-14 ***
    ## BlkPer      -6.959e-03  2.518e-03  -2.764  0.00572 ** 
    ## cop1K       -1.973e-01  3.238e-02  -6.094 1.10e-09 ***
    ## HisPer      -4.604e-03  1.548e-03  -2.973  0.00295 ** 
    ## ---
    ## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
    ## 
    ## (Dispersion parameter for poisson family taken to be 1)
    ## 
    ##     Null deviance: 654.55  on 165  degrees of freedom
    ## Residual deviance: 533.19  on 161  degrees of freedom
    ## AIC: 1125.7
    ## 
    ## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 5
  • Paterson police-involved shooting

    Paterson police-involved shooting

    In some ways this is a very typical police-involved shooting, not that police-involved shootings are are typical. But it’s all here: a man with a gun, probably mentally disturbed, confronted by police. And not for the first time. The man is white. You hear cops saying, “We can help you.” You also hear the de rigueur,”Drop the fucking gun!” He does not drop the gun. He raises the gun, not at first to a shooting position. He isn’t shot. Five seconds latter he lowers the gun barrel just a smidge. A cop fires. Then a barrage of gunfire is heard. That could be contagion shooting or in response to man seemingly trying to take a shooting stance. Many bullets strike him. He is dead.

    What makes this post-worthy is that there are at least 3 cellphone videos I’ve seen of the incident, and all of pretty good quality. Also, the area, despite the man who was shot being white, seems to be black.

    Here’s a transcript from the video that I put together:

    Man #1: I would have been shot, that nigga, man.

    Woman #1: Watch that bitch on side.

    Man #1: Hey, yo, kill that nigga.

    Woman #2: [exasperated] Come on.

    Man #1: If he was black I would’ve been shot, that nigga, man.

    Woman #1: They’d a-bin shot.

    Police: Drop it. I’m not fucking, drop the fucking gun.

    Woman #1: Oh, my god

    Police: Drop the gun. You gotta help me out.

    Woman #1: Drop the gun

    Man #1: Yo, if he was black, I would’ve been shot him, man.

    Man #2: He up that gun, they gonna shoot him.

    Man #1: He did up it already.

    Woman #2: They’re going to light his ass up, if he shoot.

    Man #2: Nigga still doing something.

    Man #1: Light his ass up!

    Man #2: Cause he not putting the gun down.

    Man #1: If he was black I would’ve been [unintelligible]

    Woman #2: But I’m saying, if he shoot.

    Man #2: He not putting the gun down.

    Man #1: But but but, I’m up top, nigga.

    Woman #2: Hell no, he ain’t putting it down. He had an opportunity the first fucking call.

    Man #1: Light his ass up.

    Woman #2: He like, “hell, no.”

    Man #2: They got all right to shoot him. He ain’t putting the gun down.

    Man #1: He standing his ground, man

    Man #2: Once he raises it they gonna shoot him.

    Woman #2: He raise it…

    Man #2: Once he raises it they gonna shoot him. They got all right to shoot.

    [GUNSHOTS]

    Others: Oh!

    Man #1: They done him!

    Others: Oh, my God.

    Man #1: BYE, BYE! BYE, BYE!

    Others: I told you they…

    The crowd’s combination of spectator sport, sporting commentary, fatalism, blood-lust (Man #1, below, makes me think of how crowds must have been like at death matches in the Roman Colosseum), and actually quite astute legal analysis on whether the shooting is legally justified before it happens. Man #2 says exactly when “They got all right to shoot him.”

    One person warns the to-be-shot guy about a cop approaching. Another person wants nobody shot. A third person wants him shot. A fourth is calling the shooting justified before it happens. It really does cover all the bases. And all this in one scene of less than 60 seconds.

    It’s worth watching the video just for the crowd
    commentary. Depends on what kind of neighborhood you live in, you might
    be surprised. One rarely gets this sense of scene (mise-en-scène, if I may)in post-shooting analysis. But here you have it. American 2020, in the midst of the Coronavirus.

     

    I do feel bad A) for cops who have to deal with and armed man and end up killing him and B) also for a man who was killed, probably while in state of mental crisis.

    But consider being a cop and having this running commentary in the background. Calling out the position of cops places everybody in greater danger. People shouting “shoot him” does not make the job easier nor the shooting less likely. Also, if gun shots are about to fly, sound advice is get out of the line of sight. But who am I to judge? Policing in this kind of neighborhood is different. So is living there. And people forget these facts.

    Of note: A woman officer jumps out of cover to tell an approaching motorist to back up. She may have saved a life. They were all brave. She should get a special medal just for that.

    The gun in the lowered position. At 0:57
    Gun is raised at 1:03

    The gun is in the raised position from 0:58 to 1:03 in the video. My Monday-morning-quarterbacking opinion is police should have shot him at 0:58, when he raised the gun. But I wasn’t there.At that moment no officer felt it was a threat. Maybe the barrel of the gun was pointed elsewhere as it was raised. Who am I to judge? Regardless of my opinion, police hold their fire for another 5 seconds.Kudos? Maybe. But I’m glad nobody else got shot. Given how this situation ended up being resolved, lethally, I see it as a dangerous delay, at least in hindsight. 

    When I first watched the video I thought, “how odd they didn’t shoot him when he raised his gun and then did shoot him 5 seconds later as he stood still.” Even I missed this: he didn’t stand still. Cops on the scene would see this. Bystanders and those watching the video in real time would not. 

    Because of the threat, tunnel vision and heightened senses kick in for the officers. At 1:03, the man lowers the barrel of the gun, just a bit (3A-3D, below). Only then is the first shot fired. (The first cop to shoot is off-screen to the left. You don’t see him in these pictures). Here is a frame-by-frame at the moment of shooting. 

    That little movement (3A-3D) is the difference between life and death. Both for him and, potentially, police officers. Because once that barrel points towards you, you could be dead. And as a police officer, I wouldn’t take that chance. And I won’t ask other to take it, either.

    1
    2
    3A
    3B
    3C
    3D
    4
    5
    6

    Then there is what sounds like the predictable contagion fire. Except notice the stance the guy takes after being shot (4). Whether this is a reflex reaction to being shot or his desire to take a few cops out, I don’t know. Either way it’s a shooting stance. And he gets lit up.

    Had the victim been black, given the video, this would be
    bigger news. So far this incident is just in the local press. And there
    it probably will remain. Which is fine. (And a pretty good account here;
    local press is often better than the Big Boys on police-involved
    shootings, because they report just what happened without running it
    through the politically-correct filter that fancy journalists seemed to have learned in “J-school”).

    Because the victim of the shooting is not black, by taking race
    out of the equation it makes it easier to analyze this
    shooting objectively. Not that the bystanders do. There’s something
    tragically ironic about one woman, right before the man is killed saying
    Boy, if he was black…”. Turns out white people get shot by police, too.

    [Linguistically, not that you asked, I’m fascinating with this sentence from Man #1: “Yo, if he was black, I would’ve been shot him, man.” “Would have been shot him.” Is he saying “Were the guy black, he would have been shot” or “I would
    have shot him, if he were black”? It’s the “him” at the end that throws
    me. “…[were I] him” or “I would [shoot] him”? Sorry, I do think about
    things like this.]


    Update. This comment from twitterexpressed something I wanted to say but couldn’t figure out how to say:

    Another thing the video shows is the constant trauma in poorer communities. It shouldn’t be a thing where people are at a stand off and someone is video taping not worried about being shot. Or you don’t run or drop to the ground once shooting starts.

    Post Script: If you’re interested in this kind of deep description of policing, see my description of the 2016 fatal Chicago police-involved shooting of Paul O’Neal. I also wrote described in great detail the 2015 arrest of Sandra Bland. And, as always, there is my book about policing in Baltimore, Cop in the Hood.

  • Violent, mentally ill, on the street: We need to do better than this

    My op-ed in the Daily News:

    Police officer Lesly Lafontant emerged form a coma yesterday after a bystander, Kwesi Ashun, somehow deemed it appropriate to beat Lafontant with a metal chair while Lafontant was trying to arrest Dewayne Hawkes, wanted on a warrant, after Hawkes had urinated on the floor on a nail salon.

    Ashun was shot and killed by police. His death, not the beating a police officer, received the attention of a City councilwoman, who tweeted, ”My condolences to the victim and their family.” She wasn’t talking about the cop. Later, she talked of working “to bridge the divides.” As if when a man beats a cop nearly to death, the police are partly to blame.

    Ashun had a record, including violent dealings with police. He was arrested for slashing a cop in 2004. Recently his family tried to get him help. “My brother was having a mental episode. He was very angry. He was spiraling [out of control]. They said he wasn’t a danger.” Eleven days before the recent attack, a city Health Department “mobile crisis team” concluded Ashun wasn’t a threat to himself or others. His sister was told to call 911 but refused: “I wasn’t comfortable with dialing 911 on an ill black man. It was too dangerous. So I didn’t call.”

    The man who relieved himself in the salon, Dewayne Hawkes? Despite starting this mess, being wanted on a warrant, resisting arrest, and instigating a series of events that led to a cop in a coma and Ashun being killed, he was released on “supervised probation” without bail. What message does that give to police? Or to the people in the nail salon?

    All serious mentally ill people need help; only a few are at risk of committing serious violence. The problem is New York City has hundreds of thousands of mentally ill and no way to treat them, particularly against their will. They bounce between hospitals, jails and homeless shelters. Some, like Ashun, end up dead. Others, like Randy Santos, will be in prison for the rest of their lives.

    Santos had a long history of violence and strange behavior before being bailed out of Rikers by a bail-reform advocacy group; he now stands accused of having murdered four homeless people, a crime to which he has confessed. Santos’s mother tried to get her son help, but he chose to decline treatment. Perhaps that’s a choice that he shouldn’t have been allowed to make.

    It’s actually not that hard to identify some of the people who need help. If your family tries to get you committed, perhaps you need be committed. Sure, we’d want an independent medical or psychiatric determination to make sure it’s not your family that is crazy, but it should be possible.

    This part isn’t about bail reform; it’s not about police use of force; it’s not about affordable housing for the homeless. This is about people being hurt because families are unable to get help for their loved ones.

    But there is a link to bail and criminal justice reform. And it’s not just a right-wing overreaction. Basically a few hundred people — a few hundred repeat offenders we can red-flag — are going to destroy the worthy gains of reform because we have no system to deal with them.

    The plan to close Rikers Island calls for a 60% reduction from current low levels, and some of those 60% will be violent and mentally ill. They need help, and they’re not going to get it.

    It behooves reformers and legislators to solve problems that are both inevitable and, if unaddressed, will doom reform efforts. The MTA is currently prohibited from banning repeat criminal offenders from the subway, even the few who push people onto subway tracks. New York judges are legally prohibited from considering a person’s “danger to the public” when setting bail. Public peace of mind requires it.

    Current reform will further limit judges’ ability to hold people and, by design, restrict police officers’ authority to arrest. On Jan. 1, almost all misdemeanors and some felonies, including some robberies and burglaries, will become not-detainable offenses. Offenders are to be given an “appearance ticket” that requires pre-trial release.

    We know that most of those are detained on low level crimes aren’t mentally ill or violent. But some of them are. If we won’t or can’t detain criminals and treat the violent mentally ill before they do harm, what is Plan B?

    The severely mentally ill do not belong in jail. But they also don’t belong on the street. They need help for their sake and for ours.

    Moskos, author of “Cop in the Hood,” is a professor at John Jay College of Criminal Justice.

  • “Stop the car or I’ll step in front of it”

    “Stop the car or I’ll step in front of it”

    This was not a good shooting. And cringe-worthy from an officer’s perspective. From the suspect’s perspective, well, he’s dead.

    I’m quoted in this article.

    The background is the car popped up on a stolen car list (I think from an automated license plate reader). The officer is told to investigate. The car is in a parking lot. There is no car stop. There was no fleeing that preceded this.

    The first problem is Officer Starks stops his car in front of the stolen car. That in itself isn’t bad, if you don’t care about your police car. But he does so in such a way that he has to get out of the police car in front of the suspect’s car. You don’t do that by choice.

    The second problem is the officer doesn’t wait for backup and the third problem is he exits the car with his gun drawn (or immediately does so after exiting the car). If you feel the need to approach the car with your gun drawn (which is fine but not required for a car that comes back stolen), shouldn’t you also feel the need to wait for backup? Either there’s a potential threat or there isn’t. And if there isn’t, he shouldn’t have had his gun out. And if there is, he should have waited for backup.

    There was no good reason to think the driver of the car, later identified as Bradley Blackshire, was armed. Though indeed he might have been. But he wasn’t. (Though in an odd but irrelevant twist the passenger later tells cops on the scene that Blackshire “has a gun,” even though he doesn’t; no gun is found. Turns out she got of jail that day. She asks to get her jacket back, because, you know, it’s cold. She’s bizarrely calm and compliant after all this.)

    But the fourth problem is the biggie. The driver, Blackshire, starts to slowly drive away after not getting out of the car, and the officer shoots and kills. When the car starts moving, Officer Starks is on the driver’s side of the car. The car is brushing against him, but it is not going to hit him. There is no threat. Just a dude slowly driving away at gunpoint. Yes, the driver could have complied. Should have, even. But non-compliance is not the issue. Non-compliance is pretty common. More to this point, non-compliance is not a lethal threat. The officer shot four times and killed Blackshire over being in a car reported stolen (it’s not clear it ever was) and “failure to obey a lawful order.” That’s unacceptable. Also likely a convictable criminal offense.

    And then, to make matters worse — who knows, perhaps Blackshire would still be alive if Starks had left well enough alone, but no — Officer Starks chooses to nominate himself for a Darwin Award. He steps in front of a moving vehicle.

    Sure, sometimes police officers end up in a chaotic situation where they find themselves in front of a moving vehicle. Shit does happen. But you don’t choose to put yourself in front of a moving vehicle. Especially not if you just shot and incapacitated the driver.

    As I say in the newspaper article: “It’s just shocking to see. Not getting in front of a car is the rare case where general orders, common sense and officer safety coincide.”

    It looks like the driver does indeed hit the brakes when Starks steps in front of the car. But then, if I had to guess — which I don’t, but I will — Blackshire can’t keep his foot on the brake, perhaps because, you know, he’s been shot and is dying. So the car, as cars do, idles forward. At this point Starks goes up on the hood of the car and fires another 11 rounds.

    The car hits and stops against dumpster or something, and then there’s the predictable period of curse-filled verbal commands being shouted at a dead or dying man. Blackshire seems to have enough life left in him to raise his hands, until he doesn’t.

    What makes this situation unusual is that the officer was actually in control of setting the stage for this interaction. Officer Starks chose how to approach, and he chose wrong. And then Officer Starks shot when there was no imminent threat, and then he placed himself in danger and shot again. There never even was a split-second decision that had to be made.

    I’d bet this isn’t the first time Officer Starks made unwise aggressive decisions in his career. And if I have to bet — and I don’t, but I will — this time will be his last.

    [Update: In January 2020, A judge ruled that firing the officer was unjust.] 

  • More on state differences in cops shooting people

    Inspired by some twitter threads — mostly this onewith Gary Cordner and this onewith Andrew Wheeler — I thought I’d look more at the cops getting killed as a factor in cops killing people.

    I like presenting this stage of research. In part because coming up with ideas and hypotheses and basic number crunching is what I like doing most. (I’ll leave the journal article submitted and advanced stats to others.) I’ll explain my steps partly to help others, but also to help me go through this on the old assumption that if you can’t explain it to others clearly, you don’t really understand it yourself. (I used Excel and PSPP.)

    I’m always partial to fewer better-data over more bad-data. So, as I often do, I’d like to stick with good old murder: officers shot and killed on duty (from the officer down memorial page, which over the years I’ve found close to faultless, which is more than one can say for the UCR or anything else.)

    The problem (from a statistical not a moral sense) is that there are many states in which very few officers are killed. So I went back to gather 20 years of data (for no particular reason, just a choice, it could have been 10 or 30) and got the number of officers killed between 1999 and 2018, by gunfire, for each state. 50 states. 990 total deaths. I dropped the states where n < 10. That leaves 33 states. Texas and California top the list, which isn’t surprising because they’re big states. But then come Georgia, Florida, and Louisiana. Interesting…

    But what’s the best denominator? I mean obviously one needs to look at population to get a rate. But which population? In order, I’m going to consider 1) number of cops, 2) population levels, and 3) violent crime levels, 4) population density, and 5) percent of population that is African American.

    1) Perhaps we should look at cops killed in terms of how many cops there are in any given state, so as to consider the chance of any given cop being killed on duty. Makes sense to me, the problem is that the official data even on how many cops there are looks dodgy. It seems unlikely to me, for instance, that Mississippi went from 5,222 cops in 2007 to 2,524 in 2014 (the two years anybody attempted to count, but reporting is voluntary). If I don’t trust the data, I don’t want to use it. But I still did the numbers, based on the average between 2007 sworn officers and 2014 sworn officers.

    For presentation purposes, let’s use the USA average (using all 50 states) as a baseline, set that to 0, and compare all the states:

    Cops are more likely to be killed in MS, LA, AR NM, SC, GA, and AZ. Keep in mind the small and safe states have been removed from the calculation. I don’t like this. If nothing else because I don’t trust the Mississippi numbers.

    2) So let’s just use overall population as the denominator. I’m using 2016 population because that’s what I already have in my file. Some states have grown a lot in the past 20 years. Oh, well. I don’t think it matters that much for these purposes. If it does, we can consider it later. Keep in mind these are ratios, the actual numbers by themselves are meaningless. But as a ratio, yes, a value of 1 means a cop is twice as likely to be killed per capita. It does appear that a cop in Louisiana is about 4 times as likely to be shot and killed as a cop in New Jersey.

    This says that Louisiana, by far, is the most dangerous state to police in. Arizona is next. And given that its population has grown drastically in the past 20 years, it should really be higher. And that would make LA seem like less of an outlier.

    New Jersey, Massachusetts, and New York are all comparably safe. I won’t say the safest because the 17 safest (and smallest) states have all been dropped for the statistical reason of having fewer than 10 cops murdered over the past 20 years.

    I think number 2 (population) is better than number 1 (number of cops). But they’re not drastically different. You get the same states on top and the same states on bottom. But I’m going with state population as the denominator because I don’t trust the count of cops.

    3) Now let’s consider violent crime as an independent variable (which is the variable that affects something else, on which something else is dependent). And back to using all 50 states.

    I just got some crude numbers off wikipedia and then took an average of 5 years of data for each state. (Not the best methods, but probably accurate. Certainly fine for preliminary work.)

    Let’s run some correlations. I like correlations because they’re easy to understand. They also tell you where you should look for deeper answers.

    First question: at the state level, is violent crime rate correlated with cops getting killed? Absolutely (Pearson Correlation = .62, Sig = .000). This is a strong and unsurprising relationship.

    Next, at the state level, is violent crime correlated with being killed by cops? Surprisingly, technically, statistically, no. (correlation = .23 sig = .104) Not at the state level; not with an N of 50. Now I know from other research that violent crime is correlated with being killed by cops, but you’ve have to delve down into the neighborhood level to see that effect. But still, if it that doesn’t come out at the state level, it’s a clue that something else is also at work! This is where things get interesting. Something else is also at play on a state level that is more significant than straight-up levels of violent crime.

    4) What about geographic area? This is where wikipedia is great because you can get state size in seconds. And then if you already have population and you’re handy with cut-and-paste and sorting on spreadsheets, you can get population density in minutes.

    And it turns out the population density is indeed correlated with a lot.

    Lack of density — more space — is correlated with being more likely to be killed by cops. Think of what this means. Common sense tells you it’s not a view of “big sky country” that makes cops shoot someone. Whatever really matters, is correlated to density (or lack thereof). Maybe it’s single person patrol. Or the time for backup to arrive. Or meth labs. Or gun culture. This is why they say “correlation doesn’t equal causation” (which is also the most frustrating phrases in social science, because correlation can very much indicate causality, and the phrase is often used to dismiss meaningful correlations as meaningless.)

    Population density (lack thereof) is also correlated with cops being killed. Density is not at all correlated with crime (like not even leaning in one direction). And yet both crime and density are heavily correlated with a lot of other factors. And both are correlated with cops being killed. More crime = more cops killed; more density = fewer cops being killed.

    So now lets do a brief multivariate analysis, which is about as far as I go. This means that we look at more than variable at the same time. Which is more important (plays a greater role) in cops being shot and cops shooting people? Crime or density? (Or something else.)

    Density seems to be more predictive than crime in terms of cops killing people and less important in terms of cops being killed (though for the latter both are correlated).

    When I move “cops killed” to the independent variable side and keep a focus on people killed by cops, density becomes less important and violent crime becomes more important. This makes intuitive sense. Because the issue with a spread out area is that cop, alone, would face greater threats.

    Keep in mind the above is about cops being killed. Much more talked about (by non cops) is people killed by cops. I wrote about that a few days ago.

    If you’re still with me, kudos. Causes here’s where the whammo happens!

    Were one to only look at individual variables, the key would seem to be density followed by crime and rate at which cops are killed. But it turns out that much of what is measured in those variables are simply correlated with and less important than the percentage of black population in a state. Crime matters. Police being killed matters (independently of violent crime), population density may matter a little, and of course other variables that I’m not even looking probably matter a lot. The question is always if they can be identified and accurately quantified.

    Last year I observed that cops shoot more often in states that have fewer blacks. So I already had a strong hunch to look in this direction.

    When one puts the state’s percentage of African-American residents into the equation, things start to fall into place. This is also taking into account how often cops get shot, crime, and density (which finally starts to lessen in importance — because as we know is only indicative of other factors — but still probably important in terms of gun laws and culture and police-backup).

    If one considers crime, density, and black percentage — but only when one does so all together — all three are significant (with an R-squared of .55). When one adds the rate at which cops are killed, r-squared goes up to .62.

    [R-squared is technically the distance (squared to take account of negative numbers) that data points are from the trend line of a chart. At some level, r-squared is supposed to indicate how much of what is being looked at is explained by the independent variables in the statistical regression. But that’s more in a statistical sense than a real-world sense. Still, generally, other things being equal, a high r-squared is better than a low r-squared. And an r-squared of 0.63 ain’t shabby for this kind of game.]

    So what does all this mean? Density matters, but not so much for what it is but for things correlated with it (same could be said for race). All these variables have “intervening variables,” the way people act, the choices they make, the factors that make us do what we do. Things that may be harder to measure than crude indicators like “population density” and “race.”

    Still, looking a these variables, density seems mostly to correlate with the lack of African-American in a state. The black percentage of a state seems to be the most significant factor in determining how many people are shot and killed by police (with overall violence and cops being killed also being important). But, contrary to what many people believe — and basically all of the “narrative” of the past few years — the relationship is inverse. The greater the percentage of blacks in a state, the less likely cops are to shoot and kill people.

    This is counter-intuitive to a lot of people, particularly if you think cops only shoot black people. But it makes perfect sense if one thinks about it in two parts:

    1) Whites don’t really care about who police shoot; period; end of story. And without the pressure over bad (or even good) police-involved shootings, cops never learn how to shoot less. Other things being equal, cops simply shoot more people if there isn’t any push-back from (to over-generalize) blacks and liberals and media and anti-police protesters. Call it the Al Sharpton Effect, if you will. Basically, in many places, police organization and culture do need to be pressured into changing for the better.

    2) Police can be recruited, trained, and taught to less often use legally justifiable but not-needed lethal force less. The state variations in police use of lethal force are huge. Some states (and particularly jurisdictions within states) do it better than others. Instead of saying “police are the problem” we could look at the states and cities and department that are doing it better and learn.

    Ultimately what we need are well and better trained police officers who shoot less often, but still shoot when needed.

    I’ll leave you one final bit of data. I don’t know if there’s a there here or not. My guess is this does matter. But maybe it’s just a clue that leads to the above. Or maybe it’s something else. Maybe you can figure it out.

    This is a table that shows a simple ratio: the number of citizens killed for each cop killed. Good people can debate what this ratio should be. I don’t want to go there. The correct ratio is no cops getting killed and few criminals getting killed. But what’s interesting to me is the that there is such a large difference between the states, and by a factor of 10! By and large the states on the high-end (more citizens getting killed) are very white and the states on the low-end (fewer citizens getting killed) are disproportionately black.

    Take Oklahoma. Cops in Oklahoma are not getting killed a lot, per capita or per number (0.6 per year over the past 20 years). There’s not a lot of violent crime, and yet in the past 4 years cops in Oklahoma have killed 118 people. Again, I don’t want to get into what the correct ratio is, but seeing how the national average is 20 civilians-to-cops shot and killed, and seeing how some states are down under 10, why the hell is Oklahoma pushing 50?

    Louisiana cops are getting shot at and killed three-times more often than cops in Oklahoma (and 8 times more often than cops in New Jersey). Both Oklahoma and Louisiana cops shoot a lot of people. But in Louisiana, dare I say, they have good reason to.

  • State variation in police-involved shootings

    State variation in police-involved shootings

    Welcome to 2019!

    I’ve compiled the past four years of Washington Post data on those shot and killed by police. Four years gives us a reasonable amount of data. The first thing that jumps out is that the number of people killed by police has remained strikingly constant each and every year for which we have data (from the Washington Post).

    The other thing that continues to jump out (I’ve written about this before) is the state-by-state variation.

    The national annual average (2015-2018) is 0.31 (rate per 100,000). And yet New Mexico is 0.98 and New York is 0.09. This is a large difference.

    Or take Utah (because of this story in the paper). Utah has a murder and violence rate below the national average, a low poverty rate, and is 90 percent white. And yet people in Utah are almost 5 times as likely an in New York to be killed by a cop. Utah has murder rate lower than NYC, 1/5 the poverty rate, far fewer cops, and Utah is 90% white. In 2018, the rate of people shot and killed by police in Utah is multiple times higher than NYC.

    In all states (except small states in which n = 0) blacks are more likely than whites to be shot and killed. But states that have less police-involved shootings overall have greater racial disparity. But a  black man in Virginia or New York or Pennsylvania is still far less
    likely to be shot and killed by police than a even white man in Utah,
    Oklahoma, or Wyoming.

    I’d speculate significant variables are (in no particular order) training, fewer cops per capita, fewer cops per mile (no backup), one-person patrol, more guns, gun culture, more meth, more booze, and race (with more white states having more police-involved shootings).

    The ten leading states — as in cops-most-shootingest states — in rank order, are New Mexico, Alaska, Oklahoma, Arizona, Colorado, Nevada, Wyoming, West Virginia, Montana, and Idaho. It certainly seems like if we were to focus on the states that have the highest rates of police-involved shootings (and by far), we could find some low-hanging fruit to reduce the number of said shootings. But to do this we’d have stop thinking of police-involved shootings as primarily related to race.

    Collectively the top-10 (where cops kill most) states are 4.9 percent African American (compared to 13 percent nationally). These are the cowboy states out west. The 10 states with the highest percentage of black population (collectively 25%) have a rate of police-involved homicide (0.24) that is below the national average.

    All this said, the really large differences are found at the local level. Albuquerque, Bakersfield, Tulsa, and Salt Lake City all have rates above 10 per 100,000. New York City’s is less than 1.0. But that’s for another time.

    Update: later post from July 2020 http://www.copinthehood.com/2020/07/05/variations-in-police-involved-shootings-by-city-and-county/

    Update: 2020 caveat.

  • Van Dyke Guilty in Chicago

    Former Chicago Police Officer Jason Van Dyke was convicted of second-degree murder in the shooting of Laquan McDonald. This isn’t surprising. I think Van Dyke was found guilty because, get this, he was.

    I wrote this in 2015:

    The video is out. Finally. After long attempts to sweep it under the rugfailed.

    It’s a bad shooting…. The officer who killed McDonald fits the pattern of bad cops: high activity, drug work, too many complaints. Sure, all the complaints weren’t justified, but some of them were. And undoubtedly he did a lot of bad shit that people didn’t file formal complaints about.

    Now of course I know that in a court of law anything Van Dyke did in the past is irrelevant to his guilt or innocence is this criminal case. Whether he was a “bad” cop or not is irrelevant and inadmissible in a court of law. But I’m mentioning it because I’m not a court of law.

    And second-degree murder seems correct. It meets these conditions:

    Intended to kill or do great bodily harm to that individual (or knew that the act would do so); or

    Knows that the acts create a strong probability of causing death or great bodily harm to the individual.

    Combined with this mitigating factor:

    At the time of the killing, he/she believed that the killing would have been lawfully justified but the belief was unreasonable.

    Van Dyke had options not limited to A) doing nothing, B) not shooting, and C) not continuing to pump rounds into McDonald after McDonald was down. As judged by this former police officer, I say Van Dyke was not reasonable.

  • Cops in Conservative Cities Shoot & Kill More Often

    Cops in Conservative Cities Shoot & Kill More Often

    Forbes came out with a list of the 10 most conservative and liberal cities in America.

    Top ten conservative, in rank order:

    Mesa

    Oklahoma City

    Virginia beach

    colorado springs

    Jacksonville

    Arlington, TX

    Anaheim

    Omaha

    Tulsa

    Aurora

    Top ten liberal, in rank order:

    San Fran

    DC

    Seattle

    Oakland

    Boston

    Minneapolis

    Detroit

    NYC

    Buffalo

    Baltimore

    I’m not going to argue with the rankings. I don’t really care. But here’s what I thought: I bet police shoot a lot more people in the conservative cities. Related to and perhaps correlated with the fact police shoot more people, per capita, in states that are more white.

    How’s this for a working hypothesis? Other things being constant (they rarely are), police shoot more people when nobody cares about police-involved shootings. And white people — particularly conservative white people — don’t really care about police-involved shootings. Period. No matter the race of those shot. And when there’s never any pushback or criticism of police, laws and training and culture do not change.

    Based on Washington Post data from January 2014 through September 2016, the annual rate (per 100,000) of police-involved homicides in the top 10 conservatives cities (n = 82) is 0.61. The annual rate of police-involved homicide in the top 10 liberal cities (n=78) is 0.20.

    Now New York City accounts for a lot of that, in terms of population. But even were one to remove NYC for simply being too big, the rate in the liberal cities is 0.39, or 64 percent of the conservative city average. Even without New York, cops in the most liberal cities are more than a third less likely to shoot and kill people. Are other factors involved? Sure. And they might be correlated to political ideology. Go figure them out, if you wish.

    Also of note, and I’m just looking at 2016 murder numbers, the murder rate in the top ten liberal cities in 9.96, which isn’t that much higher than the homicide rate of 8.01 in the top 10 conservative cities. If you take NYC out of the equation, the homicide rate for the other 9 liberal cities goes way up to 20. But if you consider that murder is higher in the top-10 liberal cities, the lower rate of police-involved homicides is all the more impressive.

    I mean, think of it this way: community violence and police-involved violence are very related. A lot of the people police shoot are violent criminals with guns, some in the process of using them. The more violent criminals there are running around shooting people, the more people police will shoot. Always has been, always will.

    That said….

    There were 138 murders in DC last year and every year (for the past 2.75 years) police shoot and kill 4 people. In Tulsa and Oklahoma City (which combined have 1 million people) there were 142 murdered last year and police shoot and kill 10 people. That’s a big difference. Police do shoot a lot more people out west. And it’s not just in conservative cities. In fact, given the low levels of murder in Seattle and San Francisco, the high number of people killed by police stand out.

    Anaheim had but 7 murders last year and police shot and killed 5 people since 2015. In Boston, Arlington and Detroit, police also shot and killed 5 people in the past 2.75 years, but there were 49, 21, and 303 murders, respectively, in these cities. Why? My guess: a combination of cops being better trained, less afraid, and less trigger happy in these cities combined with cops also being less proactive.

    Here’s the raw data I used. (Rate modifier is used in column G, (population/100,000)/2.75, because I’m using 2.75 years of police-involved homicide data.)

    September 2020 update: I re-ran these cities using better Fatal Encounters data. Compared to top 10 liberal cities, top 10 conservatives cities have less murder, fewer cops, and shoot/kill much more often. KillMilCity is annual rate of cops killing (per million). (Leaving out NYC doesn’t change much except the mean population, drops lib cities to 603K)

    Worth noting that DC, Seattle, Oakland, Minneapolis, NYC, and Buffalo jump out for having a lot of anti-police protests. None of the conservative cities do, even though cops shoot and kill many more people, even with (or because of) fewer cops. From twitter.

  • St. Louis and the acquital of Officer Stockley

    So somehow perhaps I thought doing a podcast would be less time consuming or easier than writing a blog post? No. Hell, no. Do you know what editing entails? Even light audio editing? But it’s different. Kind of fun. What the hell. I hope it’s educational (and hopefully also entertaining).

    Anyway, here’s Nick Selby and I talking about the acquittal of Officer Stockley in St. Louis.

    We now have six episodes up. (Even though with our odd counting system it only counts as three.) And Nick finally got a decent mic (not till be heard till the seventh episode).

    The episode we’re most proud of is our interview of former Decatur Police Officer Andrew Wittmer. He talks about his police-involved shooting and the post-incident PTSD.