Quality of life / Broken Windows policing has basically ended in NYC. There simply is no proactive enforcement. Every category is down, from open container to public pissing to being in a park after hours. Collectively all these categories (listed below) resulted in tens of thousands of police public contacts. It correlates with the largest increase in violence in New York City history. It might be just coincidence. It seems like more than that, though. These weren’t arrests, mind you. They were civil and criminal citations. The former is a ticket. That latter is a ticket plus, and requires a court appearance.
In the 3rd quarter of 2017, NYPD issued 11,500 summonses for open container and 1,500 tickets for urinating in public. In the 3rd quarter of 2020 these were down to 1,400 and 75, respectively.
If one goes back further (the public data doesn’t go back further in such detail), the enforcement was far greater. Perhaps too great. But at some point there was a sweet spot. No enforcement isn’t working.
Data from https://www1.nyc.gov/site/nypd/stats/reports-analysis/c-summons.page
Civil citation including are: Unlawful consumption/possession of alcoholic beverages, Public urination, Unauthorized presence in park when closed to public, Failure to comply with directions/prohibitions on signs, Littering, Unlawful bicycle riding on sidewalk, Causing or permitting unreasonable noise (7 am to 10 pm), Causing or permitting unreasonable noise (10 pm to 7 am), vend in bus stop, next to hospital/10 ft of drive, subway, crosswalk, Unlicensed general vendor.
Criminal citations included are: bicycle on sidewalk, congregates with other persons in public and refuses to disperse by lawful police order, consumption of alcohol (+ in park), Dis Con (all), dog: failure to remove canine waste, dog: unleased, failure to comply with sign, knife (all), littering (all), Other NYS Transportation, other park regulation, panhandling, trespass, urinating, vendor (all).
Update:
There are probably a few other variables we might consider during 2020, not just declining police enforcement, that are relevant, no? Schools closed, Jobs lost, Hunger, Isolation, Pandemic death, not to mention a flagrantly lawless President. We might want to work these into the model, too. Have a good weekend, brother.🙂
But violence went up during _one_ specific week. I think those other factors contributed, but when didn’t they matter before the last week of May?
If you take an honestly objective look, I don’t think President Trump was any more lawless than President Obama, or the previous presidential candidate Clinton. Honest and objective, are the critical words here. As for the rest of your statement, I agree, there were many other factors that likely contributed to the rise in gun violence, you provided a sound list. Additionally, we may want to consider, the wide calls for protest against police that generally resulted in death and destruction across America, themes not limited to NYC. When politicians call for the defunding of police, it likely emboldens those who are already bent on committing some form of crime. I don’t believe this is a one sided issue. The extremes on both sides of the isle are out of control and guilty of misleading the general public.
The President didn’t shoot anybody. If you’re serious about figuring out why there was a 102 percent spike in gun homicides you need to start with the fact they’re almost all in our poorest urban areas over retail drug profits.
The criminals clearly understand the change from proactive policing like “stop and frisk” to the reactive policing of showing up after the fact with body bags to fill out the paperwork. The citizens of NYC have chosen gang banging over the rule of law, enjoy the carnage.
Those are very peculiar statistics shown is this article. 2020 was a harsh and odd year. Possibly the lack of public intoxication came from a lost of income many families suffered. Especially since NY was one of the states that was hit the worst by the pandemic. Usually most public urinating would be done by public drunks so that is why the data would correlate between the two. Even so it would be interesting to see the true cause of the spike in shootings toward the end of the year.
Broken window policing has ended in New York City, i believe this is because of civil disorder. Perhaps we need to better policing and find effective punishments to lower crime rate. Better policing and massive immigration—not increased incarceration—contributed to New York’s crime drop in 2010. Policing in New York City deservedly received a lot of credit for the city’s crime drop;however, few people credit immigrants and almost nobody seems to notice the positive effects of “decarceration.”
There are other factors to consider rather than just focusing on the number of citations given each year. I think it was just a coincidence that crime increased during the years they weren’t given many citations. One factor that needs to be considered for the year 2020 is the pandemic. COVID-19 affected many people and one of the main things was that people lost their jobs so this probably caused a lot of crime to increase. Many people didn’t have income coming into their homes or it might not have been enough so it could have been one of the reasons for the crime change. However, there are other several factors to consider instead of just focusing on the citations given.
New York, home of a lot of civilians this can mean that the New Yor Police Department is not prepared for these types of events. This can also mean that the ratio of police men to the amount of civilians is way higher.
According to the chart 2020 these types of crimes lowered down, this could be because of covid cases and how hard it jas shaken the whole country. This can also mean that NYPD is more concentrated in other types of crimes that run a higher risk to the community.
How would you personally go about keeping the shootings and murders from happening?